"Thanks for the David Wilson call. You should quit fantasy".
This was an actual tweet we received after Wilson fumbled his way to the Giants bench, and to your fantasy doghouse, in Week 1. Really? Like you predicted that, genius?
Let's remember, folks, fantasy is a game about predictions. Guessing. Educated (somewhat) probabilites. If I would have been able to Miss Cleo your fantasy team, I would a) have far more money, and b) played Knowshown Moreno over Ray Rice last week and won my matchup.
So, just for funsies, before we get into Bold Predictions for Week 3, let's take a brief trip down memory lane and Reverse Miss Cleo the season so far in the NFL.
Had I been able to Miss Cleo the NFL Season, I would have predicted that the Ravens' rebuilding defense would get shredded in Week 1, allowing Peyton Manning to be the #1 fantasy QB.
Had I been able to Miss Cleo the NFL Season, I would have predicted that four starting runningbacks would be sitting out Week 3 for various reasons - MJD, Ray Rice, David Wilson, and Eddie Lacy. I would have thusly drafted...well, no one extra here except Bernard Pierce. Cause if you're starting Jordan Todman this week...you lose.
Had I been able to Miss Cleo the NFL Season, I would have predicted that the leading fantasy RB through 2+ weeks would be LeSean McCoy (oh, wait, I DID call that one)
Had I been able to Miss Cleo the NFL season, I would have known that Tom Brady would have a lower completion percentage after 2 weeks than Brandon Weeden, Jake Locker, Christian Ponder, and Terrelle Pryor.
Had I been able to Miss Cleo the NFL season, I would have predicted that Eddie Royal would have the most fantasy points among WRs through 2 weeks.
Had I been able to Miss Cleo the NFL season, I would have predicted that the Top 10 fantasy tight ends would include Julius Thomas, Martellus Bennett, and Jordan Cameron (whoops, actually we got that one right too!)
The point is, fantasy is a game of guessing, not fortune-telling. What we do is break down numbers and make predictions based on what is PROBABLY. What is LIKELY. Not what is FACT. So when we sit down and make bold predictions for each game - we're breaking down numbers, matchups, and gut feelings (although at times that gut feeling is just what we had for lunch). Sometimes, these predictions are very likely to come true. Most of the time, we're grasping at straws for shock value. After all, you don't come to us in order to learn that Peyton Manning is good. You might come to us to figure out whether or not Bilal Powell IS. So, without further adeiu, here's your list of Bold (and possibly incorrect) predictions for Week 3. Take them however you would like.
Chiefs at Eagles: 4 players from this game - Vick, Desean Jackson, McCoy, and Charles - will finish in the Top 5 at their positions this week in fantasy. I'm wrong. Michael Vick was mistake-prone and terrible, and in turn hurt Jackson. Still a pretty good chance that McCoy and Charles make the cut, but 0 points for me here.
Chargers at Titans: Eddie Royal doesn't score a TD in this game...but Keenan Allen does. The thinking? Royal has to crash down to Earth eventually, and he's not under anybody's radar at this point. The Chargers like Allen, and with Floyd out with a neck injury, they'll need him to be even more involved in the offense.
Browns at Vikings: The leading fantasy scorer in this game will be the Vikings Defense. Why? Well, cause both offenses are terrible. The Browns will be starting Bobby Rainey at runningback and Brian Hoyer at quarterback. Do you really NEED another reason?
Cardinals at Saints: Larry Fitzgerald goes over 125 yards and a TD. This prediction is my way of saying - he's gonna play. And he'll be fine. And the Saints defense sucks.
Giants at Panthers: Cam Newton FINALLY rewards fantasy owners who drafted him with 20+ fantasy points. The Panthers offensive game plan continues to baffle me, but this game has the makings of a shootout, plus the Panthers are decent at home and the Giants secondary couldn't cover a candle with a blanket, so I think Steve Smith also has a big game here.
Falcons at Dolphins: Charles Clay scores more fantasy points than Tony Gonzalez. They have an equal number of targets up to this point in the season (13). Clay has more catches (10-7) and more yards (163-69). He's an integral part of what the Dolphins do, especially in the red zone. He's a sneaky TE play this week, especially if you're worried about Vernon Davis's hammy.
Colts at 49ers: Andrew Luck finishes outside the Top 20 in fantasy points this week. I like Luck's talent a lot. I like the 49ers D at home a lot more, and they're an angry bunch this week after getting torn up by Seattle last week. Luck was bad on the road last year, and he won't get to play too much with his new toy Trent Richardson on Sunday. I predict a bench spot for Luck.
Bears at Steelers: No individual Steelers player finishes inside the Top 20 in fantasy points at their position this week. That includes Ben Roethlisberger. This is a BAD offense, and the Bears are a good defense. Not a good matchup looming for the Black and Yellow.
Now for Tiny Tyler's bold predictions:
Rams at Cowboys: DeMarco Murray finally goes over 100+ rushing yards. The thought? The Cowboys O-line appears to be improving. The Rams D-line is still a little bit of a work in progress.
Packers at Bengals: The leading scoring tight end in this game...is Tyler Eifert. As good as Jermichael Finley has been and as much as Jermaine Gresham seems to be re-evolving into a part of the Bengals' offense, they like the rookie from Notre Dame and he'll continue to get better as the season wears on.
Bucs at Patriots: Doug Martin goes over 100 yards with a TD. So this one would seem obvious, exceprt for the fact that you now have a Bucs team in disconnect with their coach, a lame duck QB who may be on his way out the door, and a nicked up offensive line that wasn't great to start with. Martin has 2 medicore fantasy games, but did break 100 yards last week - we expect the same this week.
Lions at Redskins: Alfred Morris gets 20 touches, 85 yards, and a TD. The bold part here is the number of touches. Morris has just 28 touches (25 carries, 3 catches) so far this SEASON. The Redskins have been way down early and been forced to abandon the run game, and Morris usually cedes passing downs to Roy Helu. We expect (and hope) that the Redskins can be competitive early against a porous Lions secondary, and that Morris can actually get meaningful work here.
Texans at Ravens: Matt Schaub's fantasy revitalization project continues, as he posts Top 10 numbers against a Baltimore secondary that hasn't looked very good, especially over the middle of the field where the Schaub-to-Owen Daniels connection lives.
Bills at Jets: Both CJ Spiller & Fred Jackson score a TD in this game. Jackson quietly has 25 carries in 2 weeks and is getting goal line work, and CJ Spiller looked very much the part of CJ Spiller last week against Carolina. The Jets are a better defense than they get credit for, but the Bills will run all day and give both guys value in a week where RB is ugly.
Jaguars at Seahawks: This has absolutely no fantasy relevance, except for maybe the realization that you shouldn't have any Jacksonville player in your starting lineup. The Seahawks Defense outscores ANY player on the Jaguars. Sorry, Cecil Shorts, we love you...but no.
Raiders at Broncos: In a massive Monday Night blowout, Peyton Manning is the #1 fantasy QB again, tossing 4 TD passes with 0 interceptions.
We'll keep score and let you know how things go on Tuesday...in the meantime tweet your sit/start questions @FLFantasyShow or email FLFantasyShow@gmail.com. Happy Week 3!